International Monetary System and Global Financial Cycles Paolo Baffi LectureRey, H. Abstract: This lecture describes how the current international monetary system work. The dollar is the hegemonic currency, the United States plays the role of a world banker and insurer, there are global financial cycles that affect domestic financial systems, even for countries who have floating exchange rate regimes. In such a world we should have macroprudential policies as sophisticated as inflation targeting policies. The international monetary system is not stable as we may be facing a new Triffin dilemma. I speculate that world powers could compete using increasingly sophisticated cross-border payment technologies to expand the network of countries under their monetary and financial influence. This could have profound geopolitical implications.
*ERC Advanced Grant INFIMOP
Reconciling risk sharing with market discipline: A constructive approach to euro area reform CEPR Policy Insight 91Franco-German Economists Abstract: List of Authors: Bénassy-Quéré, A, M Brunnermeier, H Enderlein, E Farhi, M Fratzscher, C Fuest, P-O Gourinchas, P Martin, J Pisani-Ferry, H Rey, I Schnabel, N Véron, B Weder di Mauro and J Zettelmeyer.
Voxeu summary: https://voxeu.org/article/how-reconcile-risk-sharing-and-market-discipline-euro-area
The Global Financial System, the Real Rate of Interest and a Long History of Boom-Bust Cycles. Andrew Crockett Memorial Lecture 2017Rey, H Date Published: 03/07/2017 Abstract: Financial cycles strongly determine real short-term interest rates. Wealth increases rapidly during financial booms, faster than consumption itself. As a consequence, the consumption to wealth ratio declines, as happened in the 'Roaring 20s' and the 'Exuberant 2000s'. In the subsequent busts, savings increase and keep real interest rates low. The related global financial cycle constrains monetary policy independence, even for countries with flexible exchange rates, transforming the Mundellian trilemma into a dilemma. Tackling these issues calls for combinations of monetary and scal policy coordination, macro-prudential policies, and possibly capital controls. It also means considering the role of the US as a provider of safe assets, and asking whether a multipolar system would be advantageous.
Reinforcing the Eurozone and protecting an open societyCorsetti, G., Feld, L., Koijen, R., Reichlin, L., Reis, R., Rey H., Weder di Mauro, B. Date Published: 01/05/2016Monitoring the Eurozone 2, CEPR. http://voxeu.org/content/reinforcing-eurozone-and-protecting-open-society Abstract: The sovereign debt and refugee crises prove that Europe has failed to design institutions that are robust enough to weather difficult times. The stakes are high–when economic shocks and political crises coincide, the risk of disintegration rises to alarming levels. Coordinated actions are needed, but these are difficult to implement because of the political climate. In this second report in the Monitoring the Eurozone series, the authors propose a package of institutional changes that can help to restore growth and prosperity to the Eurozone, whilst at the same time being politically feasible.
Capital Account ManagementRey, H Date Published: 2014Rey, H. "Capital account management", in What Have We Learned? Macroeconomic Policy after the Crisis edited by George Akerlof, Olivier Blanchard, David Romer and Joseph Stiglitz, MIT Press, Spring 2014: 307-314. Abstract: What do we know about the benefits of international capital flows?
Fiscal Union in the Eurozone?Rey, H. Date Published: 2013Rey, Hélène. "Fiscal Union in the Eurozone?." POLITICAL, FISCAL AND BANKING UNION IN THE EUROZONE? (2013): 107, eds Franklin Allen, Elena Carletti and Joanna Gray. Abstract: A banking union is necessary for the survival of the euro area. It is a partial substitute for a fiscal union, which would nevertheless be desirable. The key issue is to design a fiscal union in a way that keeps moral hazard under control and if possible, uses the process of fiscal integration to improve existing institutions at the euro area level.
Banks and cross-border capital flows: Policy Challenges and Regulatory ResponsesCIEPR Date Published: September 2012Brunnermeier, Markus, et al. "Banks and cross-border capital flows: Policy challenges and regulatory responses." Committee on International Economic Policy and Reform (2012). Abstract: We lay out a framework for cross-border banking flows and for improved regulatory coordination.
Committee on International Economic Policy and Reform
Rethinking Central BankingCIEPR Date Published: September 2011Eichengreen, Barry et al.. "Rethinking Central Banking: It’s Time for an Alternative Framework." Brookings Institutions (2011). Abstract: Should the framework of inflation targeting be changed in light of the current crisis?
Committee on International Economic Policy and Reform
Reforming the International Monetary SystemFarhi, E., Gourinchas, P.O., Rey, H. Date Published: March 2011Farhi, Emmanuel, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, and Hélène Rey. Reforming the international monetary system. CEPR, 2011. Abstract: This report presents a set of concrete proposals of increasing ambition for the reform of the international monetary system.
|